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You're talking about probability here: no one, not even the US government, knows. It's called a LOTTERY for a reason.starfleet_hq wrote:Dear All
Does anyone know what the odds are if i entered the DV 2009 for Zambian??
Please help
Quote from Carl Shusterman (prominent attorney):Marco 72 wrote:If your submission is valid and the lottery is fair, then the odds of winning are 50,000 divided by the total number of submissions. For years there have been rumors that the DV lottery is "biased" in some way or other (e.g. in favour of people who are already working in the US) but it's impossible to know whether this is true or not.
Surely that's because so many countries in Asia and Central/South America just don't qualify? e.g. China, India, Mexico, Cuba, Haiti, etc. So the odds would be higher for the whole of Africa simply because they don't send as many migrants as these other regions, and all African countries qualify. So that wouldn't prove that a Zambian has a good chance (the OP's question). Judging by the number of applicants from Africa, it seems Nigerians, South Africans, Kenyans and I think Egyptians have a better 'chance' because there are far more applications from those countries. Just a numbers game...JAJ wrote:Quote from Carl Shusterman (prominent attorney):Marco 72 wrote:If your submission is valid and the lottery is fair, then the odds of winning are 50,000 divided by the total number of submissions. For years there have been rumors that the DV lottery is "biased" in some way or other (e.g. in favour of people who are already working in the US) but it's impossible to know whether this is true or not.
http://immigration.about.com/library/we ... 22303a.htm
Question #6: Do you know what the statistical chances of winning are? Are they the same for every entrant? Or do they vary by country of origin?
Carl Shusterman: The chances of winning the lottery vary according to the continent in which you were born, your country of chargeability, and how many other people apply for the lottery from your region or area. For example, approximately 80% of the lottery winners will be persons who were born in Europe or Africa. Persons who were born in Asia or Central and South America have a much smaller chance of being chosen. In addition, no country can have more than 3500 people immigrate through the visa lottery within a given year. This means that if you are chosen as a "winner," this does not necessarily mean that you will achieve permanent residence. For example, if the State Department chooses 5,000 "winners" from your country, you must be among the first 3500 to immigrate. If you and your spouse are born in different countries, you may wish to choose the country where you would have the best chance of immigrating through the lottery. If you were born in Japan, and your wife was born in France, you can both apply for the lottery under the French quota and increase your chances of obtaining permanent residence dramatically.
It's a lottery. If we had a lottery, and I applied 100 times, and you applied only 1 time, what is the chance/probability of you winning, and me not being selected? No one knows. It's just a random selection. No one can tell you so there's no way of knowing and there's no way of 'improving' your chances. You just apply and wait. Like the 5 million other people!starfleet_hq wrote:Would this mean as Zambia have fewer I think the last 2 years they have had about 130ish per year obtain a green card, they possibly would have a better chance or is it that because so many are issued for nigeria or Egypt they actually lower the chances for other African countries???
Each continent is alloted a certain number, Africa and Europe get the most. Asia gets around 12,000.starfleet_hq wrote:Does anybody haow applications are submitted for Zambia evry year.
50000 available, do they actually allocate a certain number per region or by country. So for example Africa have say 100000 and these are split wihin all the countries.
Or is the selection process irrespective of where the application is from.