Here is my analysisHannah1990 wrote:So do you think it's really I unlikely people with 37 will go through?
One
The June and July are always peak (because people start work in August and September)
The August and September are not peak (Because less people start work in October and November )
That means there is chances that points in August goes back to normal
Two
The back log for 45+ from June + new application of 45+ in July were all granted RCoS , that leaves us with no backlog of 45+ for August, this means the applications below 45+ have fair chances for selection in August.
Three
There will be a huge backlog of 40 points application from June July and new application for august altogether to be considered in August (assuming everyone will reapply) , this means cut off point can go 35-40 and back to 32 again in September
Outcome should fall in one of these three analysis , and I hope it is case one and two so everyone gets a fair chance.
Assumptions : everyone is going to re-apply , Employers are still recruiting , same number of phd/shortage occupation applying again in August etc.
What do you think ?