Ameline wrote: ↑Tue Oct 20, 2020 2:45 pm
CULLINAN wrote: ↑Tue Oct 20, 2020 2:11 pm
JT67ILRqns wrote: ↑Tue Oct 20, 2020 2:08 pm
Thank you very much for your swift response.
We will hold off writing to UKVI.
Based on what you are seeing, do you have any idea what sort of timescales we might be looking at for ILR SET M ?
@Ameline and @Ajitu92 are best placed to answer this.
I have a whole dataset from this forum since the start of lockdown (End of March) and I was trying to predict based on how the HO previously dealt with applications.
If we take March, April and May applications:
- First approved March SET(M) (appointment before lockdown in March) reported receiving approval in this forum was on 14/05/2020 (I guess there might be many before this but was not reported in this forum).
- First approved March SET(M) (appointment after lockdown in June) reported receiving approval in this forum was on 15/06/2020.
- First approved April SET(M) reported receiving approval in this forum was on 30/07/2020.
- First approved May SET(M) reported receiving approval in this forum was on 04/09/2020.
If we take June, July and Aug applications as examples which is more relevant to us, we (September SET(M) applicants) would have started receiving decision before October ends:
- First approved June SET(M) reported receiving approval in this forum was on 23/07/2020.
- First approved July SET(M) reported receiving approval in this forum was on 14/08/2020.
- First approved August SET(M) reported receiving approval in this forum was on 10/09/2020.
We have not seen any approval for September SET(M) yet. Based on June/July/August this would have started before 10/10/2020 but it did not happen. I applied myself on 04/09/2020. Obviously if they don't start reviewing September SET(M) before the end of October, we will be among the unlucky months, same as late march, April and May. If they start this week or next week, we will be similar to June, July and August.
Also when I say June, July and August are lucky with August being the luckiest, there are unlucky people inside these lucky months and vice versa lol
There are still outstanding applications from March to August, so overall; there are people who have been lucky in the monthly good luck, unlucky in the monthly good luck, lucky in the monthly bad luck and (bless them) unlucky in the monthly bad luck.
Hope this makes sense and helps.