input-output wrote: ↑Wed Sep 28, 2022 3:51 pm
I was told t hat all 2020 applications will be completed by this year's end.
That'll be amazing if they can make that happen! We don't have any insight to their backlog, so info like this is
golden. Thanks for the info,
input-output.
All we have for data is in the
Google Spreadsheet we've crowdsourced, and while it's tempting to extrapolate and predict from that, its crowsourced nature means we're making a lot of assumptions.
Taking a look at the spreadsheet again with this new information in mind and an optimistic attitude, I think it's
plausible that they'll clear all of 2020 by the end of 2022. (A few stragglers aside)
In the last ~6 months they've cleared 82 entries on our spreadsheet. Roughly Jan-Mar 2020.
That's ~14/month.
If that rate holds constant, and if our spreadsheet matches their backlog, they'll clear 42 more off our list in the next three months taking us to the end of this year. We have 42 remaining uncompleted entries from 2020. It's right on track.
However, I have noticed that the spreadsheet gets more new entries as people get their FBRs and check in here for the first time to report that. In other words, the sheet probably under reports the backlog.
I'm still optimistic though, because I expect their output will go up in the remaining 3 months. I believe they were slowed earlier in the year by holidays and because FBRs were slowed as they worked to improve the passport backlog.
tl;dr I'm optimistic they can complete all the 2020 applications by the end of 2022!