maphubs wrote:Have you got straightforward case or clear immigration history? If yes, then likely it will be your Biometric card for permanent residence or ILR. The reason I am saying because according my calculation, straightforward 10 years long residence cases are processing on average in 3.5 months. This calculation I made by calculating average processing time based on the information I obtained on the basis of Freedom of Information (FOI) act response on 10 year Long residence applications.
Please post the status once you received the re-delivery.
Good luck,
A
Dawhizzy wrote:Hi guys, I am a very silent but keen observer of this site...
I applied for my ILR SET(LR) on July 12 and had biometric done on July 29. When I got back from work on Friday, I got a letter from DX saying that they tried to deliver a package but I wasn't home. I have now rescheduled for it to be delivered early next week. But typically, I'm concerned because I haven't got any confirmation letter from UKBA or my passport + other docs.
Could this be my ILR BRP or my previous BRP (tier 2)?
Most probably it is ILR and everything is fine, but regarding to calculation of 3.5 months for straightforward cases, this is not correct. This is very much like a lottery. If you want more certain statistics, it was done. There was a guy here recently, Johny Dhaka, I believe.
He is an accountant, he analysed Sky Drive for one year. Here it is. In commas, I put approximate possibility of getting ILR in percentage. This is very rough guide but it is nowhere near 3.5 months anyway. It is easy to see that people with very straightforward cases usually wait longer than 3.5 months, but this is very much a lottery. You can wait 10 weeks or 26, no direct link with the complication of your case. Some people with questionable gaps waited for only 12 weeks and vice versa. Here it goes:
2 person got ILR in 10 weeks, (6%)
2 person got ILR in 12 weeks, (12%)
1 person got ILR in 14 weeks, (15%)
1 person got ILR in 17 weeks, (18%)
1 person got ILR in 18 weeks, (21)
5 person got ILR in 19 weeks, (36)
8 person got ILR in 20 weeks. (60)
4 person got ILR in 21 weeks (72)
3 person got ILR in 22 weeks (81)
4 person got ILR in 23 weeks (93)
1 person got ILR in 24 weeks (96)
1 person got ILR in 26 weeks (99)
If you would say that it takes 3.5 half months for straightforward cases, people would worry why the hell they still did not get ILR, what's wrong with them. They should not feel this way after only 3.5 months. I know you meant to help but look at this forum and Skydrive and you will see it is never near 3.5 months in most cases and most cases are straightforward.